Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-115%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
LAI
3 - 3
SMA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
CPK
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 1
WAK
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 8
SMA
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
BEN
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 0
WAK
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CLU
0 - 3
MCA
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 1
MCA
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 1
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |