Sporting Lutxana vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lutxana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
LAU
6 - 1
SPO
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAR
18%
26%
57%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
GIM
4 - 2
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SPO
0 - 0
RAC
32%
28%
40%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
LEO
1 - 0
SPO
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 2
SSC
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
OBE
2 - 1
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
LAR
2 - 2
BAS
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
OBE
2 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 2
RAC
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |