Sporting Lucense vs Sarriana B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1131%
+712%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SRN
0 - 0
SLU
32%
20%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAT
0 - 8
SLU
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 0
TAB
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MON
4 - 1
SLU
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
7 - 1
BOV
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sarriana B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SRN
0 - 0
SLU
32%
20%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
REL
0 - 6
SRN
24%
19%
57%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SRN
4 - 1
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
RSI
1 - 2
SRN
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SRN
1 - 3
COR
23%
20%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |