Sporting Lucense vs Ferreira C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1131%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
SLU
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MON
4 - 3
SLU
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
5 - 1
RSI
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 0
LAJ
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
SLU
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferreira C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
FRI
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
FER
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
FER
51%
22%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
PAL
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
RES
2 - 0
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |