Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
BEL
4 - 0
SCP
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 1
VST
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
1 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
5 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
24%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |