Sporting CP vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 2
SCP
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
3 - 1
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
SCP
69%
17%
14%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
8 - 0
DUM
97%
3%
0%
|
89 | 35 | 54 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
47%
24%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
ALT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
STR
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
RAK
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |