Europa League Group D Round 6

Sporting CP vs Sturm Graz analysis

Sporting CP Sturm Graz
88 ELO 80
8.4% Tilt 10.3%
100º General ELO ranking 548º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
68.4%
Sporting CP
17.7%
Draw
13.9%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
Sporting CP
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.9%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting CP
+11%
+11%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

Sporting CP
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
3 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
22%
24%
54%
88 80 8 0
04 Dec. 2023
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 1
Gil Vicente
GFC
77%
15%
8%
88 73 15 0
30 Nov. 2023
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
79%
13%
8%
88 94 6 0
26 Nov. 2023
SCP
Sporting CP
8 - 0
Dumiense FC
DUM
97%
3%
0%
88 35 53 0
12 Nov. 2023
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
47%
24%
29%
88 88 0 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
SCR Altach
ALT
54%
24%
22%
81 77 4 0
03 Dec. 2023
FCB
Blau-Weiß Linz
1 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
35%
24%
41%
81 77 4 0
30 Nov. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Raków Częstochowa
RAK
55%
23%
22%
81 78 3 0
25 Nov. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Austria Lustenau
SCA
59%
22%
19%
81 73 8 0
12 Nov. 2023
SKA
Austria Klagenfurt
0 - 3
Sturm Graz
STR
45%
24%
31%
80 80 0 +1