Sporting CP vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 0
SES
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 23 | 65 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 1
SCP
12%
25%
63%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 3
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPB
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
FAB
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
33%
31%
36%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 1
FAB
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |