Taça de Portugal Eliminatorias. Semi-finals

Global 4-3

Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis

Sporting CP Benfica
88 ELO 88
12.1% Tilt 15.6%
74º General ELO ranking 77º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.3%
Sporting CP
23%
Draw
29.7%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
Sporting CP
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.7%
Win probability
Benfica
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Sporting CP
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
RIO
Rio Ave
3 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
16%
22%
63%
88 73 15 0
22 Feb. 2024
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
63%
20%
18%
88 84 4 0
19 Feb. 2024
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
23%
23%
54%
88 79 9 0
15 Feb. 2024
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 3
Sporting CP
SCP
31%
24%
45%
89 84 5 -1
11 Feb. 2024
SCP
Sporting CP
5 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
45%
23%
33%
88 88 0 +1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2024
SLB
Benfica
4 - 0
Portimonense
POR
78%
14%
8%
88 65 23 0
22 Feb. 2024
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
22%
23%
55%
88 80 8 0
18 Feb. 2024
SLB
Benfica
6 - 1
Vizela
VIZ
76%
15%
9%
88 69 19 0
15 Feb. 2024
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
69%
18%
13%
88 80 8 0
11 Feb. 2024
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 2
Benfica
SLB
24%
24%
52%
88 81 7 0
X