Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
7º
1º
79
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
79 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 70 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 26 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
SCP
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
6 - 1
BOA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
SCP
69%
17%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SLB
1 - 0
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
GLA
0 - 1
SLB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |