Real Sporting vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1947 |
OVI
3 - 2
SPO
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
SPO
4 - 1
VCF
42%
24%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FCB
4 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 4
SEV
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 3
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 4
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |