Friendly. Matchday 29

Real Sporting vs Ponferradina analysis

Real Sporting Ponferradina
83 ELO 67
3% Tilt -27%
679º General ELO ranking 1091º
28º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
77.5%
Real Sporting
16%
Draw
6.5%
Ponferradina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
Real Sporting
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.5%
Win probability
Ponferradina
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%