Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 0
SPO
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
OVI
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
REU
0 - 1
SPO
22%
28%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 4
SPO
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 0
SPO
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
REU
1 - 0
NUM
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
OVI
0 - 1
NUM
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 2
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |