Real Sporting vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BET
2 - 0
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
MLL
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
MLL
0 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 3
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 1
RMA
11%
18%
71%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATM
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 2
MAL
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 2
GET
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |