Real Sporting vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAC
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 2
KOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
KOL
0 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ATM
3 - 1
CEL
80%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
ATM
3 - 1
FCB
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ATM
1 - 4
VAD
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |