Sporting Fulgor vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
POM
3 - 0
SFM
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 1
RAA
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
SFM
92%
7%
2%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RPO
1 - 0
SFM
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SFM
0 - 1
ASD
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 3
TAR
22%
24%
53%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 0
SAR
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
NAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
FCF
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |