Sporting Fulgor vs Gravina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
SFM
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 2
POM
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 1
SFM
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FBC
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
NFR
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 2
FBC
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 2
RPO
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FBC
4 - 1
FCF
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |