Sporting da Brava vs Derby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting da Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIN
1 - 3
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FCU
4 - 3
BRA
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CSM
6 - 0
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
GDV
0 - 0
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
CSM
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
CSM
1 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DER
2 - 1
BOA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |