Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
SPC
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
26%
22%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
UTC
0 - 0
AGP
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
UTC
2 - 1
SBO
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UTC
4 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 0
UTC
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |