Apertura Peru Round 3

Sporting Cristal vs Universitario Deportes analysis

Sporting Cristal Universitario Deportes
70 ELO 73
4.6% Tilt -3.8%
760º General ELO ranking 723º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.3%
Sporting Cristal
26.7%
Draw
22%
Universitario Deportes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22%
Win probability
Universitario Deportes
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
+7%
+30%
Universitario Deportes

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Universitario Deportes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2012
SBO
Sport Boys Association
0 - 5
Sporting Cristal
SPC
41%
27%
32%
69 63 6 0
18 Feb. 2012
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 1
Cobresol
COB
45%
27%
27%
67 71 4 +2
04 Dec. 2011
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 0
Sport Huancayo
HUA
34%
26%
41%
67 74 7 0
27 Nov. 2011
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
67%
22%
11%
67 75 8 0
20 Nov. 2011
SPC
Sporting Cristal
0 - 4
Univ. San Martín
SAM
32%
27%
41%
68 77 9 -1

Matches

Universitario Deportes
Universitario Deportes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2012
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 1
Cienciano
CIE
57%
25%
18%
73 66 7 0
19 Feb. 2012
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
47%
28%
25%
72 68 4 +1
04 Dec. 2011
COM
Unión Comercio
3 - 2
Universitario Deportes
UNI
53%
27%
20%
74 71 3 -2
27 Nov. 2011
UNI
Universitario Deportes
2 - 2
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
58%
25%
17%
74 65 9 0
19 Nov. 2011
COB
Cobresol
1 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
54%
27%
19%
74 72 2 0