Sporting Cristal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 3
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 2
GAL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
SBO
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 3
SAM
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |