Sporting Cristal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |