Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SPC
3 - 0
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
CAN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SRP
0 - 0
COM
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
0 - 1
COM
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |