Sporting Cristal vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
SPC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
STR
5 - 1
SPC
68%
17%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPC
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SFE
0 - 2
JAG
60%
25%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
EQU
0 - 0
SFE
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 0
JUN
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
SFE
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 1
SFE
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |