Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
SPC
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOC
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 4
AUR
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |