Sporting Cristal vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
GAR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 3
SPC
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
AUR
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |