Sporting Cristal vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
SPC
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
MUN
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 2
RAC
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEP
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 4
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |