Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
SBO
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
SRP
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BIN
1 - 1
SPC
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 0
SBO
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
SRP
0 - 1
MUN
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
BIN
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
HUA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 2
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |