Sporting Cristal vs Atlético Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |