Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CIE
0 - 0
SPC
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 6
SPC
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
SBO
1 - 4
SPC
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 2
BIN
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 2
AUN
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
AUN
1 - 1
MUN
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
AUN
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AUN
0 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |