Clausura Peru Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
SPC
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 1
AUN
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COM
2 - 3
ALI
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BIN
0 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |