Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 0
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 3
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 2
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
AYA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MEL
4 - 1
SPC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 3
HUA
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAN
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 1
SRP
47%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |