Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
SPC
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
3 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |