Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 2
SPC
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CIE
4 - 0
SPC
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 3
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |