Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 3
SPC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 2
SPC
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 0
VAL
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 0
SBO
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAU
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |