Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CAU
0 - 1
SPC
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SPC
5 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALI
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
COB
0 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |