Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
15º
1º
22
1º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
BES
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 0
SPO
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
MAF
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
41%
22%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |