Sporting CP II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
BMA
0 - 1
SCP
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 0
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 1
SCP
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SCP
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
FAR
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
PEN
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
PEN
71%
20%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
PEN
34%
27%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 1
PEN
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |