Sporting CP II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
SCP
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 0
LEX
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
SCP
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
AVE
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
UNM
3 - 2
SCP
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
VSC
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEN
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |