Sporting CP II vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FEI
2 - 0
SCP
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
SCP
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 0
AVE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
GFC
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAF
1 - 1
AVE
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACV
2 - 1
MAF
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 1
VAR
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAF
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |