Liga 3 Promotion Group Round 9

Sporting CP II vs Atlético CP analysis

Sporting CP II Atlético CP
57 ELO 57
1.9% Tilt -6.7%
3653º General ELO ranking 3729º
63º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
44.5%
Sporting CP II
25.6%
Draw
30%
Atlético CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
Sporting CP II
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
Atlético CP
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting CP II
+52%
-13%
Atlético CP

Points and table prediction

Sporting CP II
Their league position
Atlético CP
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
30
30
100%
Sporting CP II
26
26
100%
Os Belenenses
22
22
100%
Varzim
21
21
100%
Fafe
14
14
100%
1º Dezembro
14
14
100%
Atlético CP
13
13
100%
Amarante
13
13
100%
Expected probabilities
Sporting CP II
Atlético CP
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Sporting CP II
Atlético CP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting CP II
Sporting CP II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 1
Sporting CP II
SCP
58%
24%
19%
56 63 7 0
30 Mar. 2025
AMA
Amarante
0 - 1
Sporting CP II
SCP
48%
26%
26%
55 58 3 +1
15 Mar. 2025
SCP
Sporting CP II
0 - 0
Fafe
FAF
54%
24%
22%
55 53 2 0
09 Mar. 2025
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Sporting CP II
SCP
46%
26%
28%
55 56 1 0
01 Mar. 2025
SCP
Sporting CP II
3 - 0
1º Dezembro
1DE
49%
25%
26%
53 54 1 +2

Matches

Atlético CP
Atlético CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
ATL
Atlético CP
2 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
43%
26%
30%
57 57 0 0
30 Mar. 2025
1DE
1º Dezembro
0 - 1
Atlético CP
ATL
28%
27%
45%
57 51 6 0
15 Mar. 2025
ATL
Atlético CP
0 - 0
Lusitania FC
LUS
33%
28%
38%
56 61 5 +1
09 Mar. 2025
AMA
Amarante
2 - 0
Atlético CP
ATL
41%
27%
32%
57 57 0 -1
02 Mar. 2025
ATL
Atlético CP
4 - 0
Fafe
FAF
46%
26%
28%
56 54 2 +1