Sporting CP II vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
2º
13
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 1
SCP
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 4
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 1
AMA
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
1DE
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
AMA
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |