Taça da Liga round 1

SC Covilha vs Vitória Guimarães analysis

SC Covilha Vitória Guimarães
60 ELO 76
-12.3% Tilt -9.7%
4710º General ELO ranking 113º
83º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.1%
SC Covilha
25.2%
Draw
53.7%
Vitória Guimarães

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
SC Covilha
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.7%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-10%
-6%
Vitória Guimarães

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Vitória Guimarães
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2021
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
37%
28%
35%
61 63 2 0
11 Sep. 2021
BEN
Benfica II
0 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
59%
22%
19%
61 63 2 0
29 Aug. 2021
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 2
Porto II
POR
47%
27%
26%
61 58 3 0
23 Aug. 2021
VIL
Vilafranquense
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
25%
26%
48%
61 51 10 0
15 Aug. 2021
SPC
SC Covilha
2 - 1
Academico Viseu
ACV
46%
27%
27%
61 58 3 0

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
ARO
Arouca
2 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
31%
29%
41%
76 69 7 0
12 Sep. 2021
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 0
Belenenses SAD
BEL
66%
22%
12%
76 66 10 0
29 Aug. 2021
SPB
Sporting Braga
0 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
73%
18%
9%
76 85 9 0
22 Aug. 2021
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
4 - 0
Vizela
VIZ
59%
23%
18%
75 66 9 +1
13 Aug. 2021
EST
Estoril
0 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
42%
27%
32%
75 72 3 0