Segunda Liga . Jor. 20

SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis

SC Covilha Varzim
55 ELO 58
-16.9% Tilt -8.1%
3865º General ELO ranking 4658º
53º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
30.6%
SC Covilha
29.4%
Draw
40%
Varzim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
SC Covilha
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40%
Win probability
Varzim
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-41%
-26%
Varzim

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Varzim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2019
ACV
Academico Viseu
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
56%
24%
20%
53 57 4 0
13 Jan. 2019
MAF
Mafra
1 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
60%
24%
17%
53 59 6 0
06 Jan. 2019
LEX
Leixões
1 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
55%
25%
20%
53 58 5 0
02 Jan. 2019
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 0
Sporting Braga II
BRA
34%
28%
38%
52 57 5 +1
22 Dec. 2018
POR
Porto II
3 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
61%
22%
17%
53 58 5 -1

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2019
VAR
Varzim
2 - 1
Leixões
LEX
41%
29%
30%
58 59 1 0
20 Jan. 2019
MAF
Mafra
2 - 0
Varzim
VAR
46%
27%
27%
59 58 1 -1
13 Jan. 2019
ACA
Académica
2 - 0
Varzim
VAR
50%
27%
23%
60 63 3 -1
09 Jan. 2019
VAR
Varzim
2 - 1
Cova Piedade
COV
50%
27%
23%
60 56 4 0
06 Jan. 2019
FAM
Famalicão
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
52%
25%
23%
60 61 1 0
X