SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ACV
0 - 1
SPC
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
AVE
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 2
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
COV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
VST
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
VSC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPC
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |