SC Covilha vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIZ
1 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
EST
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
SPC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 3
GON
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 3
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 2
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
GON
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 2
UDL
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |