SC Covilha vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNM
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPC
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 0
SPC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 0
UDL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 1
ALV
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BMA
4 - 2
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UDL
2 - 2
MAR
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
MFK
3 - 1
UDL
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |