Segunda Liga Round 26

SC Covilha vs Trofense analysis

SC Covilha Trofense
55 ELO 51
-12.8% Tilt -7.7%
4962º General ELO ranking 4076º
91º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
49%
SC Covilha
27.1%
Draw
23.9%
Trofense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
SC Covilha
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.9%
Win probability
Trofense
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-14%
-18%
Trofense

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Trofense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2022
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
67%
20%
13%
54 63 9 0
26 Feb. 2022
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 1
Casa Pia AC
CAS
21%
27%
53%
55 67 12 -1
20 Feb. 2022
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
51%
26%
23%
54 59 5 +1
13 Feb. 2022
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 2
Benfica II
BEN
17%
23%
60%
55 66 11 -1
07 Feb. 2022
POR
Porto II
3 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
63%
21%
16%
56 61 5 -1

Matches

Trofense
Trofense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2022
TRO
Trofense
1 - 1
Farense
FAR
18%
26%
57%
52 63 11 0
27 Feb. 2022
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
Trofense
TRO
75%
18%
8%
51 63 12 +1
20 Feb. 2022
TRO
Trofense
1 - 3
Mafra
MAF
17%
26%
57%
52 64 12 -1
11 Feb. 2022
CAS
Casa Pia AC
1 - 0
Trofense
TRO
73%
19%
9%
52 66 14 0
07 Feb. 2022
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 0
Trofense
TRO
57%
25%
18%
53 60 7 -1