SC Covilha vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
8º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEL
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPC
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
ALV
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 2
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCP
5 - 0
AMO
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
SCP
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |