Segunda Liga Round 45

SC Covilha vs Farense analysis

SC Covilha Farense
68 ELO 59
5.5% Tilt -10.8%
4995º General ELO ranking 751º
91º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
64.8%
SC Covilha
21.1%
Draw
14.1%
Farense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
SC Covilha
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.1%
Win probability
Farense
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Covilha
-16%
-12%
Farense

ELO progression

SC Covilha
Farense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Covilha
SC Covilha
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2015
UNM
União Madeira
2 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
49%
27%
24%
68 68 0 0
06 May. 2015
SPC
SC Covilha
7 - 1
Oriental Lisboa
ORI
59%
23%
19%
67 60 7 +1
03 May. 2015
SPC
SC Covilha
2 - 2
Feirense
FEI
53%
25%
22%
67 65 2 0
26 Apr. 2015
BRA
Sporting Braga II
1 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
31%
28%
41%
67 57 10 0
19 Apr. 2015
SPC
SC Covilha
4 - 1
UD Oliveirense
OLI
64%
21%
14%
66 57 9 +1

Matches

Farense
Farense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2015
FAR
Farense
3 - 3
UD Oliveirense
OLI
56%
24%
20%
60 54 6 0
06 May. 2015
LEX
Leixões
1 - 3
Farense
FAR
45%
27%
27%
59 58 1 +1
02 May. 2015
FAR
Farense
3 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
41%
27%
32%
58 60 2 +1
26 Apr. 2015
MAR
Marítimo II
0 - 1
Farense
FAR
33%
28%
40%
57 50 7 +1
19 Apr. 2015
FAR
Farense
1 - 2
Tondela
TON
28%
28%
45%
58 68 10 -1