SC Covilha vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
4º
29
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 4
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 3
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
SPC
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMO
1 - 1
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
CAL
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |